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Thursday 29 December 2011

Non political school commissioners or DfE policy gaff?

Incoming OFSTED chief Sir Michael Wilshaw has today, advocated the appointment of local trouble-shooters whose so-called job it would be, to identify failing schools and sack incompetent heads. He believes that spotting failing schools should not be down to him alone. Sir Michael believes that identifying and helping schools early requires local trouble-shooters or school commissioners to make the necessary interventions and report their findings directly to the Secretary of State.


Brian Lightman the General Secretary ASCL speculates upon this sudden policy U turn in his blog. Brian Lightman is a keen observer and is quick to spot the political implications of this move and rightly sees this as a ‘ devastating critique of government policy’.

The point is that this is a political move and as such the timing of this move is equally important, 3 days before Sir Michael takes up his appointment as head of OFSTED.

In the Times Sir Michael outlines his proposals. He called on ministers

'to appoint dozens of these commissioners in local areas to decide whether to close or merge academies, or replace head teachers or governing bodies where standards were unacceptably low'
'They could be modelled on commissioners which monitor school standards in the US'

Why oh why are we constantly looking at US models of education and how can we believe that these posts would ever be non-political?
Brian Lightman concludes that education policy is being made all too often by individuals or by politically motivated think-tanks such as the IPPR.
He calls for a Crown appointment of a Chief Education Officer who would be an expert in this field and be politically independent similar to the Chief medical officer’s present role.
Education is crying out for objective, non political accountability.
Michael Gove has centralized academies and turned Whitehall into the largest LA in the country. His goal has been to create more autonomy for schools.
How could the DfE ever hope to monitor and manage all these divergent schools successfully?
It wouldn’t surprise me at all if Gove has asked Sir Michael to trail this new policy initiative on his behalf as he tries to cover up a DfE policy gaff. After all, Gove could never be seen to backtrack on a policy he himself created.

Thursday 22 December 2011

There’s nothing unaffordable about public sector pensions





Writing on the PoliticsHome website, Conservative MP Brandon Lewis argues that the Public sector is not immune to change and that the coalition government has made a ‘fair’ and ‘generous’ offer.

So the premise of his argument rests solely on the key measure of ‘affordability’.

This, as anybody who has actually taken the time and trouble to read the Hutton report  knows, is something of a myth.

What page 23 of the report shows is that even without the Hutton reforms, the cost of public sector pensions on the key measure of affordability (as a percentage of GDP) has already peaked and is set to decline markedly over the years ahead. That's because public sector pensions have already been quite significantly reformed, the two main changes being higher employee contributions and the shift from RPI to the generally lower CPI for indexing purposes.



Whilst Brandon Lewis is right to say that in general  private sector pensions have suffered,  (when Lab abolished the tax credit on dividends)  this alone is not a good reason to be equally pernicious to the public sector. Brandon’s policy is a "race to the bottom".

What he really proposes is a move to the leveling of public sector pensions down to the disgracefully low standards that rule in the private sector?

What Brandon Lewis also fails to tell his readers is that the Office for Budget Responsibility projections, as shown in the bar chart beneath, show much the same thing. Far from rising as a proportion of GDP, the cost of public sector pensions is set to decline even assuming no further reform.



This graph clearly shows that the PS pensions peak in 2012-13 and that at 1.4% of GDP they are most certainly affordable. This is no demographic time bomb!

What Brandon Lewis is really saying is that whilst he thinks it’s fair that taxpayers fund the NHS, Police and Schools within a universal tax system, he doesn't think it’s fair that the nurses, police officers and teachers have a pension that is more favourable than those in the private sector.

It’s this perceived ‘unfairness’ (or the politics of envy) that Brandon finds objectionable.

Whilst he and his fellow MP’s have only been paying very little into their own defined pensions scheme since 2006 and enjoy probably the best gold-plated final salary pension available to any public sector employees, I feel he is on rather shaky ground.

The public sector pensions are most definitely affordable it’s just that this government has other priorities.